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MLBAug 2, 2026 · 1:40 PM ET

Miami Marlins at New York Mets

Miami Marlins

National League East

at

New York Mets

National League East

Citi Field

No published forecast for this game

A probability appears here only after a forecast has been published for this matchup.

Full research report not yet published

The written report is released once it clears review. The recorded data below is shown regardless.

01

Injuries, lineups, and availability

Availability records

  • No availability changes recorded for this game.

Lineup status

  • Lineups have not been posted yet.
02

Market intelligence

Best price (MIA / NYM)

— / —

Largest payout among valid sportsbook quotes

Books reporting

0

0 independent pricing group(s)

Sportsbook consensus (NYM)

De-vigged — · hold —

Market hold

Median two-way overround across valid books

Polymarket

NYM contract midpoint

Kalshi

NYM contract midpoint

Exchange consensus

Liquidity 10,068

Combined market

Not comparable

Book vs exchange divergence

Exchange minus sportsbook

Proofline model probability

NYM win probability

Model vs sportsbook

No published forecast for this game

Model vs exchange / combined

— / —

Last refresh 9:48 AM ET

Data qualityINSUFFICIENT SPORTSBOOK COVERAGEINSUFFICIENT EXCHANGE COVERAGESTALEVALIDMARKETS NOT COMPARABLE

No stored sportsbook moneyline exists for this game.

No forecast has been published for this game, so no model-versus-market edge is shown.

No sportsbook pricing has been recorded for this game.

03

Team context

MIA

55-54

Win rate
50.5%
Division
National League East
Games behind
8.0
Run differential
+6
Recent form
3-7

NYM

46-62

Win rate
42.6%
Division
National League East
Games behind
16.5
Run differential
-50
Recent form
5-5
04

Sources

No sources have been attached to this report yet. Citations appear here once the supporting material for a published report is recorded.

Proofline Sports publishes research and probability estimates for informational purposes. Forecasts describe likelihoods, not outcomes, and are not wagering advice.