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MLBJul 31, 2026 · 7:05 PM ET

Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles

Philadelphia Phillies

National League East

at

Baltimore Orioles

American League East

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

No published forecast for this game

A probability appears here only after a forecast has been published for this matchup.

Full research report not yet published

The written report is released once it clears review. The recorded data below is shown regardless.

01

Injuries, lineups, and availability

Availability records

  • No availability changes recorded for this game.

Lineup status

  • Lineups have not been posted yet.
02

Market intelligence

Best price (PHI / BAL)

— / —

Largest payout among valid sportsbook quotes

Books reporting

0

0 independent pricing group(s)

Sportsbook consensus (BAL)

De-vigged — · hold —

Market hold

Median two-way overround across valid books

Polymarket

BAL contract midpoint

Kalshi

BAL contract midpoint

Exchange consensus

Liquidity —

Combined market

Not comparable

Book vs exchange divergence

Exchange minus sportsbook

Proofline model probability

BAL win probability

Model vs sportsbook

No published forecast for this game

Model vs exchange / combined

— / —

Last refresh 5:01 PM ET

Data qualityINSUFFICIENT SPORTSBOOK COVERAGEINSUFFICIENT EXCHANGE COVERAGESTALEMARKETS NOT COMPARABLE

Sportsbook coverage is INSUFFICIENT_SPORTSBOOK_COVERAGE with 0 independent pricing group(s).

No forecast has been published for this game, so no model-versus-market edge is shown.

Moneyline prices by sportsbook
SportsbookPHIBALOpeningCurrentMovementUpdatedStatus
10Betunavailable+100-12052.2%52.2%+0.0%5:01 PM ETSTALE
1xBetunavailable+104-11251.9%51.9%+0.0%5:01 PM ETSTALE
bet365unavailable-105-11651.2%51.2%+0.0%5:01 PM ETSTALE
Betanounavailable-102-11851.7%51.7%+0.0%5:01 PM ETSTALE
Betfairunavailable+100-11851.9%51.9%+0.0%5:01 PM ETSTALE
BetVictorunavailable-105-12552.0%52.0%+0.0%5:01 PM ETSTALE
Marathonbetunavailable-102-12052.0%52.0%+0.0%5:01 PM ETSTALE
Pinnacleunavailable+105-11452.2%52.2%+0.0%5:01 PM ETSTALE
SBOBETunavailable-108-12351.6%51.6%+0.0%5:01 PM ETSTALE
Superbetunavailable+100-11851.9%51.9%+0.0%5:01 PM ETSTALE
Unibetunavailable+102-12252.6%52.6%+0.0%5:01 PM ETSTALE
William Hillunavailable-110-11050.0%50.0%+0.0%5:01 PM ETSTALE

0 valid book(s) · 12 excluded · 0 independent group(s) · 12 stale · dispersion

03

Team context

PHI

57-52

Win rate
52.3%
Division
National League East
Games behind
6.0
Run differential
-15
Recent form
2-8

BAL

53-56

Win rate
48.6%
Division
American League East
Games behind
10.5
Run differential
-24
Recent form
5-5
04

Sources

No sources have been attached to this report yet. Citations appear here once the supporting material for a published report is recorded.

Proofline Sports publishes research and probability estimates for informational purposes. Forecasts describe likelihoods, not outcomes, and are not wagering advice.