Back to MLB
MLBAug 2, 2026 · 2:20 PM ET

New York Yankees at Chicago Cubs

New York Yankees

American League East

at

Chicago Cubs

National League Central

Wrigley Field

No published forecast for this game

A probability appears here only after a forecast has been published for this matchup.

Full research report not yet published

The written report is released once it clears review. The recorded data below is shown regardless.

01

Injuries, lineups, and availability

Availability records

  • No availability changes recorded for this game.

Lineup status

  • Lineups have not been posted yet.
02

Market intelligence

Best price (NYY / CHC)

— / —

Largest payout among valid sportsbook quotes

Books reporting

0

0 independent pricing group(s)

Sportsbook consensus (CHC)

De-vigged — · hold —

Market hold

Median two-way overround across valid books

Polymarket

CHC contract midpoint

Kalshi

CHC contract midpoint

Exchange consensus

Liquidity 8,922

Combined market

Not comparable

Book vs exchange divergence

Exchange minus sportsbook

Proofline model probability

CHC win probability

Model vs sportsbook

No published forecast for this game

Model vs exchange / combined

— / —

Last refresh 9:48 AM ET

Data qualityINSUFFICIENT SPORTSBOOK COVERAGEINSUFFICIENT EXCHANGE COVERAGESTALEVALIDMARKETS NOT COMPARABLE

No stored sportsbook moneyline exists for this game.

No forecast has been published for this game, so no model-versus-market edge is shown.

No sportsbook pricing has been recorded for this game.

03

Team context

NYY

61-46

Win rate
57.0%
Division
American League East
Games behind
1.5
Run differential
+89
Recent form
7-3

CHC

61-46

Win rate
57.0%
Division
National League Central
Games behind
6.0
Run differential
+88
Recent form
7-3
04

Sources

No sources have been attached to this report yet. Citations appear here once the supporting material for a published report is recorded.

Proofline Sports publishes research and probability estimates for informational purposes. Forecasts describe likelihoods, not outcomes, and are not wagering advice.